High level intensive emphasis on "de Stocking" the property market policy will continue to be loose next year
high level intensive emphasis on "de Stocking" the property market policy will continue to be loose next year
November 20, 2015
[China paint information] in recent days, high-level intensive attitude "de Stocking", the property market is expected to usher in a new round of policy market. Industry insiders believe that relevant fiscal, monetary and other support policies will be introduced in succession in the future, and the existing "market rescue" policy will continue to be strengthened. It is worth noting that next year, the transformation of shanty towns will still focus on monetary compensation and resettlement, which will become one of the important ways to destock the property market
it is expected that the "market rescue" policy will still focus on finance and taxation.
recently, the central government has continuously emphasized the task principle of the medium friction and wear testing machine, releasing a strong policy signal. Among them, for the expression of real estate, it is proposed to "dissolve the real estate inventory and promote the sustainable development of the real estate industry." On November 11, Li Keqiang presided over the executive meeting of the State Council, proposing to accelerate the reform of the registered residence system to drive the consumption of housing, household appliances and so on
analysts from the China Index Research Institute told that at present, the central government is actively promoting the healthy development of the industry by raising real estate de stocking and accelerating the reform of registered residence to drive housing consumption. In the future, relevant fiscal and monetary support policies will be introduced in succession, and local governments will also increase fiscal subsidies to continue to encourage housing consumption
in response to the central government's intensive statement on the de stocking of the property market, the implementation of specific policies is also accelerating. An insider close to the Ministry of housing and urban rural development said that at present, all ministries and commissions have preliminarily summarized the adjustment ideas of reducing wood flour by less than 3% in various specific policies, and it is expected to be introduced at different levels after the economic work conference at the end of the year
in fact, in order to stimulate housing consumption, a series of stimulus policies have been introduced since this year, including interest rate cuts, adjustment of provident fund policies, reduction of the down payment ratio of commercial loans, and deregulation of foreign investment into China's real estate market. However, EPS board (expandable polystyrene board) has the advantages of light weight, low price, low thermal conductivity, small water absorption, good electrical insulation performance, sound insulation, shockproof, moisture-proof, simple molding process and so on. Therefore, it is widely used as building, ship, automobile, train, refrigeration, refrigeration and other heat insulation, sound insulation, seismic materials with different effects, obvious regional differentiation, and the problem of high inventory has not been alleviated
Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of E-House Research Institute, said that the real estate policy will continue to be relaxed next year, "the central government emphasizes de stocking, and it is estimated that the policy level will continue to be relaxed."
Zhang Hongwei, director of Tongce consulting and research department, told, "the policies expected to be introduced are mainly related to finance and taxation. The down payment ratio of the first house in non restricted cities may be reduced to 20%. In terms of Taxation, local governments may give greater concessions, such as reducing taxes on transaction links and giving various subsidies."
Yan Yuejin also said that the down payment for the first set of housing is likely to be reduced to 20%. In addition, the purchase restrictions for the second set of housing are likely to continue to be reduced. "Now it is still differentiated that the repayment has not been made, and the terms may continue to be revised in the future. It doesn't matter whether the repayment is clear or not."
from the perspective of the market, "the policies that have been issued may continue to be strengthened," Zhang Hongwei said. "For cities with large land supply, the land scale may be appropriately reduced and the pace of land transfer may be controlled. In addition, adjustments may be made in the house type structure, and the proportion of small and medium-sized apartments may be increased for the commodity housing market."
"each provincial capital will issue detailed rules. The main idea is to regulate and control by classification and adjust measures to local conditions." Yan Yuejin said
monetized shed reform accelerates the destocking of the real estate market
it is worth noting that the monetized compensation and resettlement of shantytowns has entered a substantive stage, or inject more liquidity into the credit of the real estate market next year. According to the China business daily, the China Development Bank has extended a total of about 400billion yuan of credit lines to the reconstruction of shanty towns and monetized compensation and resettlement during the year. At the same time, CDB also issued a loan of about 300billion yuan for the shed reform project last year. It is expected that the targeted credit line in 2016 will be higher than that in 2015, and the real estate market may face trillion level liquidity injection in 2016
in July last year, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development proposed that monetized compensation and resettlement become the main resettlement method for the reconstruction of urban shanty towns, but the completion situation was not ideal that year. Since this year, the Ministry of housing and urban rural development has carried out several special investigations on the shed reform, and the investigation level is high. It is certain that the shed reform in 2016 is still dominated by monetary compensation and resettlement, replacing the previous physical resettlement. It is obvious that the shed reform monetary compensation and resettlement can be used as one of the important ways to solve the problem of real estate inventory
insiders believe that the national shed reform task is still heavy in 2016 and 2017. After the implementation of monetized resettlement and the government's purchase of shed reform services, the short-term funding gap of shed reform is large. In addition to CDB's strong support for shed reform, other commercial banks and society expect that the weak operating capital of domestic mines will also usher in development space in a short time
Zhang Hongwei bluntly said, "for some shed resettlement houses, it is indeed in the form of monetary compensation to let relocated households buy commercial houses in the market. In the future, in order to destock, this practice may be more obvious."
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